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S&P 500 Future Bounce Capped by 1992.5; Bias Lower to 1950.0/48.5

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S&P 500 Future Bounce Capped by 1992.5; Bias Lower to 1950.0/48.5

S&P 500 completed top intact to leave bearish risks

·         An erratic Monday session, but a lower low and lower high reinforces negative pressures from the Thursday plunge from ahead of a firm barrier at 1999.25 through 1968.0 and the 38.2% retrace of the rally from August in the ADC chart at 1964.0.

·         This activity completed a more notable topping structure, and still favours a deeper correction through month-end and targets chart/ retrace support at 1950.0/48.5 next

·         Overshoot threat is to the 100-day MA, currently 1946.25 and maybe the 61.8% retrace at 1933.0.


·         Above 1979.25 eases bear risks; through 1992.5 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above 1999.25.

See full report with levels & latest screencast here:  


4 Hour S&P 500 E-mini December Future Chart



Daily S&P 500 Future Adjusted Continuation Chart




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Steve Miley is The Market Chartist and has over two decades of financial market experience with him. He spent 2009-2012 as a Director of the FX Technical Analysis Research Strategy team at Credit Suisse and was previously at Merrill Lynch for 15 years; 10 years as a technical analyst, 5 years in Fixed Income sales.

He was 2013 winner of the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Best Independent Fixed Income Research & Strategy, Runner Up for the same award in 2014 and was the winner of Best FX Research & Strategy 2012 (at Credit Suisse).

Steve is a Member of the Society of Technical Analysts (MSTA) and holds a Masters Degree in Politics, Philosophy & Economics from Lincoln College, Oxford University.

Steve has covered all major asset classes including Rates & Credit, G10 & EM currencies, Equity Indices & Sectors and Commodities and has strong relationships across the institutional financial trading spectrum, including Central Banks, Real Money accounts, Hedge Funds and other Global Corporates.



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