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US 10yr Future ($ZN_F) June Bear Extension Risk

Posted by on in Fixed Income Chart Updates
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US 10yr future negative pressures intact

·         We did look for a potential corrective bounce on Tuesday before our more negative theme resurfaced through midweek, but a quick failure at our 124-13 target has allowed for a quicker than anticipated bearish resumption.

·         This maintains negative pressures this week from the Friday failure back from 125-00 and the prior reversal below the trend line support from early April for still further downside into mid-June.

·         We see risk of erosion into this week to chart props at 123-275 and 123-21.

·         Overshoot risk is down to 123-00 and the key trend line from Sept 2013, 122-30.


·         Above 124-13 eases bear risks; through 124-31 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above 125-175/185.

Please see full report with levels and latest screencast here:



Daily US 10yr Sept Future: Adjusted Continuation Chart


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Steve Miley is The Market Chartist and has over two decades of financial market experience with him. He spent 2009-2012 as a Director of the FX Technical Analysis Research Strategy team at Credit Suisse and was previously at Merrill Lynch for 15 years; 10 years as a technical analyst, 5 years in Fixed Income sales.

He was 2013 winner of the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Best Independent Fixed Income Research & Strategy, Runner Up for the same award in 2014 and was the winner of Best FX Research & Strategy 2012 (at Credit Suisse).

Steve is a Member of the Society of Technical Analysts (MSTA) and holds a Masters Degree in Politics, Philosophy & Economics from Lincoln College, Oxford University.

Steve has covered all major asset classes including Rates & Credit, G10 & EM currencies, Equity Indices & Sectors and Commodities and has strong relationships across the institutional financial trading spectrum, including Central Banks, Real Money accounts, Hedge Funds and other Global Corporates.



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