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US 10yr ($ZN_F) Downside Bias through Key 123-28

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US 10yr ($ZN_F) Downside Bias through Key 123-28

US 10yr future bear phase to extend


·         We stated in our last report to clients that “we see downside pressures to still aim lower Friday and through mid-September to the 124-00 retrace level and maybe back closer to the 123-125 July low” and the push through the retrace leaves threat to 123-125 this week.

·         A key Interim support target for Monday is now the trend line support on the Adjusted Continuation Chart (ADC) from September 2013 that now comes in at 123-28.

·         A break here would be a far more negative technical development and allow for a more bearish theme for 123-125, and then key lows at 123-07/06.


·         Above 125-12 eases bear risks; through 125-215 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above 125-305.

Please see full report with levels and latest screencast here:  


Daily US 10yr Future: Adjusted Continuation Chart



4 Hour US 10yr Dec Future Chart




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Steve Miley is The Market Chartist and has over two decades of financial market experience with him. He spent 2009-2012 as a Director of the FX Technical Analysis Research Strategy team at Credit Suisse and was previously at Merrill Lynch for 15 years; 10 years as a technical analyst, 5 years in Fixed Income sales.

He was 2013 winner of the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Best Independent Fixed Income Research & Strategy, Runner Up for the same award in 2014 and was the winner of Best FX Research & Strategy 2012 (at Credit Suisse).

Steve is a Member of the Society of Technical Analysts (MSTA) and holds a Masters Degree in Politics, Philosophy & Economics from Lincoln College, Oxford University.

Steve has covered all major asset classes including Rates & Credit, G10 & EM currencies, Equity Indices & Sectors and Commodities and has strong relationships across the institutional financial trading spectrum, including Central Banks, Real Money accounts, Hedge Funds and other Global Corporates.



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Holiday and cessation of service: 7th-23rd August 2017

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